Environmental As
        
        
          Mine
        
        
          sessment
        
        
          Volume B-3.6
        
        
          Natural Risks
        
        
          
            Ambatovy Project
          
        
        
          
            75
          
        
        
          
            January 2006
          
        
        
          •
        
        
          A landslide along the embankments due to poor foundation conditions,
        
        
          excessive seepage (piping) and/or oversteepening of the embankments
        
        
          that could cause overtopping or breaching of the embankments.
        
        
          •
        
        
          A landslide at the waste dumps or excavated slopes due to poor
        
        
          foundation conditions or oversteepening of the slopes which could cause
        
        
          a flow slide.
        
        
          The key question for natural hazards is:
        
        
          
            Key Question TG-1
          
        
        
          
            Are the Risks of Natural Hazards to the Public
          
        
        
          
            and Environment Increased as a Result of the
          
        
        
          
            Mine?
          
        
        
          
            3.6.5
          
        
        
          
            Impact Assessment
          
        
        
          
            3.6.5.1 Assessment Methods
          
        
        
          A risk assessment was completed for natural hazards (Knight Piesold, 2005a)
        
        
          using a relative ranking system.  For each of the three identified natural hazards
        
        
          described in Section 3.6.4, all potential hazard scenarios were first identified
        
        
          according to failure mode, associated consequences and planned risk mitigations.
        
        
          The residual risks for all hazard scenarios were then estimated using a relative
        
        
          risk ranking system.  Acceptable risks were determined according to international
        
        
          standards to minimize risk to downstream public and environmental resources.
        
        
          
            3.6.5.2 Assessment Criteria
          
        
        
          The assessment criteria used for the assessment of natural risks are presented in
        
        
          Table 3.6-1.  Five categories of risk are defined by likelihood of occurrence and
        
        
          magnitude of consequences.  Overall risk is a product of the relative ranking for
        
        
          likelihood and consequence.